WN 4759 · BNA → LGB

departs 5:46 PM CT · arrives 8:04 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

97% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

LGB (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4759 · BNA → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?