WN 4766 · MSY → DAL

departs 10:50 AM CT · arrives 12:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.03 in

DAL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4766 · MSY → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?