WN 4775 · ALB → MCO

took off 5:33 AM ET · expected to land 8:02 AM ET (scheduled 5:30 AM ET → 8:36 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ALB is prone to delays

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from ALB are usually not late

Weather at each end

ALB (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4775 · ALB → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?