WN 4807 · AUS → LAX

departs 5:50 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts +40 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
56%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.06 in

LAX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4807 · AUS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?