WN 4887 · DAL → AUS

departs 10:25 PM CT · arrives 11:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.27 in

AUS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4887 · DAL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?