WN 492 · HOU → MAF

departs 8:06 AM CT · arrives 9:42 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ MAF is prone to delays

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.40 in

MAF (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 492 · HOU → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?