Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4955 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:17 AM ET, ETA 11:24 AM MT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 4955 · MCO → ELP

took off 10:17 AM ET · expected to land 11:24 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↑ ELP is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

ELP (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4955 · MCO → ELP

Odds over time