Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5065
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 5065 · BNA → HOU
departs 11:05 AM CT · arrives 1:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at HOU that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from BNA are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.