Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 5071 · MSY → DAL
departs 6:20 PM CT · arrives 7:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.03 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.