Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5084
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 5084 · MCI → PHX
departs 5:15 PM CT · arrives 6:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from MCI are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.