WN 572 · AUS → RDU

departs 8:26 PM CT · arrives 12:19 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.09 in

RDU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 572 · AUS → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?