WN 573 · JAN → HOU

departs 8:25 PM CT · arrives 9:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at HOU that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

JAN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.09 in

HOU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 573 · JAN → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?