WN 578 · BNA → LAS

departs 5:05 AM CT · arrives 7:00 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 45% of the time recently

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from BNA are usually not late

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 578 · BNA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?