Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 58
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 58 · DAL → TUL
departs 10:00 PM CT · arrives 11:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.