WN 659 · BNA → MSY

departs 7:56 AM CT · arrives 9:37 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 659 · BNA → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?