Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 684
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 684 · BNA → TPA
departs 11:10 AM CT · arrives 2:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Thu 10/8 16%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from BNA are often late
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.