WN 685 · SFO → BUR

departs 6:26 AM PT · arrives 7:51 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 685 · SFO → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?