WN 698 · MCO → RIC

took off 4:12 PM ET · landed 5:48 PM ET (scheduled 3:21 PM ET → 5:26 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RIC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at RIC that day

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ RIC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.16 in

RIC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.88 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 698 · MCO → RIC

Odds over time

How late did it get to RIC?