WN 713 · BNA → SAT

departs 10:35 PM CT · arrives 1:05 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BNA that day

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SAT (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 713 · BNA → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?