WN 736 · BNA → STL

departs 6:36 PM CT · arrives 7:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at BNA that day

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 736 · BNA → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?