WN 777 · AUS → ABQ

took off 9:24 AM CT · expected to land 9:48 AM MT (scheduled 9:20 AM CT → 10:18 AM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ABQ?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ ABQ is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into ABQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 777 · AUS → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?