Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 799
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 799 · BUR → LAS
departs 8:05 PM PT · arrives 9:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±9 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.