Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 805
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 805 · BUR → OAK
departs 2:45 PM PT · arrives 4:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↑
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.