WN 833 · MDW → HOU

departs 2:27 PM CT · arrives 5:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 833 · MDW → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?