WN 8506 · GSO → BWI

took off 2:10 AM ET · landed 2:50 AM ET (scheduled 12:31 AM ET → 1:52 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BWI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BWI that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

GSO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.04 in

BWI (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 8506 · GSO → BWI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BWI?