WN 858 · DAL → MCI

departs 3:03 PM CT · arrives 4:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.26 in

MCI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 858 · DAL → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?