WN 858 · MCI → ATL

took off 5:44 PM CT · expected to land 8:25 PM ET (scheduled 5:10 PM CT → 8:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from MCI are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 858 · MCI → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?