WN 874 · BUR → LAS

departs 4:05 PM PT · arrives 5:18 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 874 · BUR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?