Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 884 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:21 AM HT, ETA 4:07 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 884 · HNL → SAN

took off 8:21 AM HT · expected to land 4:07 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 884 · HNL → SAN

Odds over time