Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 893
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 893 · BWI → CLE
departs 10:25 AM ET · arrives 11:45 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BWI that day
↑
BWI is busy at that time
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.04 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.