WN 915 · ABQ → AUS

departs 9:10 PM MT · arrives 12:07 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from ABQ are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 915 · ABQ → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?