Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 930 · DAL → AUS
departs 11:15 AM CT · arrives 12:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.