Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 957 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:58 PM PT, ETA 12:14 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 957 · SAN → SAT

took off 7:58 PM PT · expected to land 12:14 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 8pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 957 · SAN → SAT

Odds over time