tailodds FORECAST

Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3415 SCHEDULED
Tomorrow

YX 3415 · RIC → EWR

departs 2:38 PM ET · arrives 4:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.7d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    15%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.