Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3477
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
YX 3477 · EWR → PIT
departs 9:50 PM ET · arrives 11:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 17%
Fri 10/9 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at EWR that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.13 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.