Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3513 LANDED 8:26 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

YX 3513 · PIT → EWR

took off 7:32 AM ET · landed 8:26 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3513 · PIT → EWR

Odds over time