YX 3565 · ORD → CMH

departs 12:53 PM CT · arrives 3:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3565 · ORD → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?