Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3610 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

YX 3610 · EWR → RIC

departs 2:50 PM ET · arrives 4:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at RIC that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.09 in

RIC (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3610 · EWR → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?