Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3622
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
YX 3622 · IAD → BTV
departs 10:05 PM ET · arrives 11:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sun 10/4
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at BTV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BTV?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAD that day
↑
IAD is prone to delays
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.29 in
BTV (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.