YX 3717 · EWR → STL

departs 2:19 PM ET · arrives 4:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3717 · EWR → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?