YX 4349 · ATL → LGA

departs 3:36 PM ET · arrives 6:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.31 in

LGA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4349 · ATL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?