Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4376 LANDED 10:31 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

YX 4376 · DTW → LGA

took off 9:18 AM ET · landed 10:31 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.06 in

LGA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4376 · DTW → LGA

Odds over time