YX 4385 · BOS → IND

took off 7:31 AM ET · expected to land 9:43 AM ET (scheduled 7:19 AM ET → 10:06 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IND?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

IND (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4385 · BOS → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?