YX 4406 · PWM → PHL

took off 5:23 AM ET · landed 6:30 AM ET (scheduled 5:16 AM ET → 7:21 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PWM is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PHL that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at PWM that day

Weather at each end

PWM (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4406 · PWM → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?