Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4509
SCHEDULED
Today
YX 4509 · EYW → PHL
departs 2:43 PM ET · arrives 6:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to PHL?
-
On time or early
58%
-
15–30 min late
12%
-
30 min–1 hour late
16%
-
1–2 hours late
9%
-
Over 2 hours late
4%
-
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.