Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4639 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:49 PM ADT, ETA 4:46 PM ET)
Today

YX 4639 · YHZ → PHL

took off 3:49 PM ADT · expected to land 4:46 PM ET (scheduled 2:46 PM ADT → 4:28 PM ET)
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
85% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    15%
  2. 15–30 min late
    53%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    32%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.