Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4674 LANDED 10:15 AM ET, ~3 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

YX 4674 · PHL → MYR

took off 8:58 AM ET · landed 10:15 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MYR that day

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.12 in

MYR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip3.68 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4674 · PHL → MYR

Odds over time