YX 4684 · LGA → CMH

departs 1:10 PM ET · arrives 3:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

CMH (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4684 · LGA → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?