Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5650
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 5650 · JFK → CMH
departs 3:25 PM ET · arrives 5:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 19%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
3pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at JFK that day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.13 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.