Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5688
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 5688 · LGA → BNA
departs 6:45 AM ET · arrives 8:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.05 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.